Penalized regression methods for simultaneous variable selection and coefficient estimation, especially those based on the lasso of Tibshirani (1996), have received a great deal of attention in recent years, mostly through frequentist models. Properties such as consistency have been studied, and are achieved by different lasso variations. Here we look at a fully Bayesian formulation of the problem, which is flexible enough to encompass most versions of the lasso that have been previously considered. The advantages of the hierarchical Bayesian formulations are many. In addition to the usual ease-of-interpretation of hierarchical models, the Bayesian formulation produces valid standard errors (which can be problematic for the frequentist lasso), and is based on a geometrically ergodic Markov chain. We compare the performance of the Bayesian lassos to their frequentist counterparts using simulations, data sets that previous lasso papers have used, and a difficult modeling problem for predicting the collapse of governments around the world. In terms of prediction mean squared error, the Bayesian lasso performance is similar to and, in some cases, better than, the frequentist lasso.

George Casella

Malay Ghosh

Jeff Gill

Minjung Kyung

Bayesian Analysis

贝叶斯分析是国际贝叶斯分析学会的电子期刊。它旨在发表广泛的文章，在某些理论或应用背景下展示或讨论贝叶斯方法。该期刊欢迎提交新的计算和统计方法的投稿；对现有方法的批判性审查和讨论；历史观点；重要科学或政策应用领域的描述；实例探究;以及实验设计、数据收集、数据共享或数据挖掘的方法。提交的评估基于内容的重要性和沟通的有效性。讨论论文通常由主编选择，或由编辑建议，在定期提交的论文中。此外，《期刊》鼓励个人作者提交手稿以作为讨论文件考虑。

Bayesian Analysis is the electronic journal of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. It aims to publish a wide range of articles that showcase or discuss Bayesian methods in various theoretical or applied contexts. The journal welcomes submissions of new computational and statistical methods; critical reviews and discussions of existing methods; historical perspectives; descriptions of significant scientific or policy application areas; case studies; as well as methods for experimental design, data collection, data sharing, or data mining. Submitted papers are evaluated based on the importance of their content and the effectiveness of their communication. Discussion papers are typically selected by the editor-in-chief or recommended by editors as part of regularly submitted papers. Additionally, Bayesian Analysis encourages individual authors to submit manuscripts for consideration as discussion papers.

《Bayesian Analysis》是国际贝叶斯分析学会的电子期刊，旨在发表广泛的文章，展示或讨论贝叶斯方法在各种理论或应用背景下的应用。该期刊欢迎提交新的计算和统计方法的研究；对现有方法的批判性审查和讨论；历史视角；重要科学或政策应用领域的描述；实例研究；以及实验设计、数据收集、数据共享或数据挖掘的方法。提交的论文将根据内容的重要性和沟通的有效性进行评估。讨论论文通常由主编选择，或由编辑建议，作为定期提交的论文的一部分。此外，《Bayesian Analysis》鼓励个人作者提交手稿，以供作为讨论文件考虑。

Penalized regression, standard errors, and Bayesian lassos

The performance of the Bayesian lassos is compared to their fre- quentist counterparts using simulations, data sets that previous lasso papers have used, and a di-cult modeling problem for predicting the collapse of governments around the world.

Category	Quartile
数学	2
数学, 数学跨学科应用	1
数学, 统计学与概率论	2

Penalized regression, standard errors, and Bayesian lassos

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