International Studies in the Philosophy of Science

Jordi Cat

Jamie Shaw

From Quantum Holism to the Disunity of Science and Social Activism: The Cat-Feyerabend Correspondence

从量子整体论到科学与社会运动的分离：卡特-费耶阿本德通信

Christoph J. Hueck

Remapping Biology with Goethe, Schelling, and Herder. Romanticising Evolution

用歌德、谢林和赫尔德重绘生物学：浪漫化进化

Jennifer Whyte

Mathematical SETIbacks: Open Texture in Mathematics as a New Challenge for Messaging Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence

数学SETI困境：数学中的开放结构作为向地外智能传递信息的新挑战

Pieter T. L. Beck

Maarten Van Dyck

Good reasons, real questions and proper aims: Hasok Chang on the rationality of the chemical revolution

好的理由、真实的问题和恰当的目标：曹浩森论化学革命的合理性

The paper discusses modelling uncertainties in climate models and how they can be addressed based on physical principles as well as based on how the models perform in light of empirical data. We argue that the reliability of climate models can be judged by three kinds of standards: striking confirmation, supplementing independent causal arguments, and judging the causal core of models by establishing model robustness. We also use model robustness for delimiting confirmational holism. We survey recent results of climate modelling and identify salient results that fulfil each of the three standards. Our conclusion is that climate models can be considered reliable for some qualitative gross features and some long-term tendencies of the climate system as well as for quantitative aspects of some smaller-scale mechanisms. The adequacy of climate models for other purposes is less convincing. Among the latter are probability estimates, in particular, those concerning rare events. On the whole, climate models suffer from important deficits and are difficult to verify, but are still better confirmed and more reliable than parts of the methodological literature suggest.

Abbreviation	Int. Stud. Philos. Sci.
Journal Impact	0.57
Quartiles(Global)	HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE(Q2)

Publication Information	Publisher: Routledge，Publishing cycle: ，Journal Type: journal，Open Access Journals: No
Basic data	Year of publication: 1986，Proportion of original research papers: 100.00%，Self Citation Rate:14.30%， Gold OA Rate: 19.61%

International Studies in the Philosophy of Science

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From Quantum Holism to the Disunity of Science and Social Activism: The Cat-Feyerabend Correspondence

Remapping Biology with Goethe, Schelling, and Herder. Romanticising Evolution

Mathematical SETIbacks: Open Texture in Mathematics as a New Challenge for Messaging Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence

Good reasons, real questions and proper aims: Hasok Chang on the rationality of the chemical revolution

Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability

From Quantum Holism to the Disunity of Science and Social Activism: The Cat-Feyerabend Correspondence

Remapping Biology with Goethe, Schelling, and Herder. Romanticising Evolution

Mathematical SETIbacks: Open Texture in Mathematics as a New Challenge for Messaging Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence

Good reasons, real questions and proper aims: Hasok Chang on the rationality of the chemical revolution

A Conceptualisation of Irreversibility for Sustainable Development